Hot Tub

How can I use predictive AI to tell me how log it will take to heat up my wood fired hot tub?

I want to build a system to collect and store temperature data in a database and use machine learning techniques to build a model that predicts the time required to heat the water to 40°C based on the current water temperature, outside temperature, and other relevant factors.

Hardware requirements

Raspberry Pi: A Raspberry Pi 4

DS18B20: The DS18B20 is a digital temperature sensor that provides 9-bit to 12-bit Celsius temperature measurements. It has an accuracy of ±0.5°C over the range of -10°C to +85°C. It uses the 1-Wire communication protocol, simplifying the wiring and allowing multiple sensors to share the same data line. It’s waterproof and can be submerged in water, making it suitable for measuring the water temperature in the hot tub.

MicroSD Card: A minimum 8 GB microSD card (preferably Class 10) to install the Raspberry Pi operating system and store your Python scripts.

Power Supply: A 5V 2A micro USB (for Raspberry Pi 3 or Zero W) or USB-C (for Raspberry Pi 4) power supply to power the Raspberry Pi.

4.7kΩ Resistor: A 4.7kΩ pull-up resistor for connecting between the VCC and Data pins of the DS18B20 sensor.

Hardware setup

Connect the DS18B20 sensor to the Raspberry Pi. The DS18B20 has three pins: VCC, GND, and Data. Connect VCC to the 3.3V pin on the Raspberry Pi, GND to a GND pin, and Data to a GPIO pin (e.g., GPIO 4). Additionally, connect a 4.7kΩ pull-up resistor between VCC and Data pins.

Machine learning

Data Collection: Set up the hardware to measure and record the initial water temperature, outside temperature, and the time taken to reach the desired water temperature (40°C). Collect data over multiple heating cycles to create a comprehensive dataset.

Data Preprocessing: Clean and preprocess the data to ensure it’s suitable for training a machine learning model. This may involve removing outliers, handling missing values, and normalizing the data.

Feature Engineering: Create additional features that improve the model’s predictive performance. For example, include variables like the heating power of the wood fire, heat loss factors, the difference between initial water temperature and outside temperature, etc.

Model Selection: Choose an appropriate machine learning algorithm for regression, such as linear regression, support vector machines, decision trees, or neural networks. You may need to try multiple algorithms to find the one that best fits your data.

Model Training: Split your dataset into training and testing subsets. Use the training subset to train the selected model and validate its performance using the testing subset.

Model Evaluation: Evaluate the model’s performance using relevant metrics, such as mean squared error (MSE) or mean absolute error (MAE). Fine-tune the model by adjusting its parameters or trying different algorithms if necessary.

Model Deployment: Once you have a satisfactory model, you can deploy it in your software system. This will allow you to input the current water and outside temperature values and receive a predicted time to heat the water to 40°C.

Model Updating: Periodically update the model with new data to ensure that it stays accurate and relevant.

Last modified July 21, 2024: update (e2ae86c)